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The Ghost of Web Advertising Future

What happens when a publisher fails to create quality advertising products designed for its unique content experience (native advertising, broadly defined)?

It concludes, correctly, that it won’t get much of a premium by having human beings sell its not-very-well targeted 300×250 banners. So it offloads its inventory to ad exchanges and networks. Since the exchanges and networks don’t deliver a great CPM for most impressions, the publisher is forced to add more banner placements just to maintain revenue-per-thousand-pageviews levels it achieved two years earlier. Not a pretty picture, no matter how you look at it. The money still isn’t great, and the user experience is horrifying.

Here’s a screenshot from the San Jose Merc website on February 7 snapped by John Battelle. From his post on Searchblog:

Six or more of [ads] in this screenshot, and three more below the fold. There’s a Verizon site wrapper (on either side of the page), an expandable top banner, and three medium rectangle units crammed in there. Not one of them is what you might call a ‘quality’ ad — at least by most standards. (Do you think Verizon is happy that their site takeover is overrun by social media buttons and competing with belly flab, diabetes, Frys’ Electronics and travel pitches?) If you bother to scroll down (who would?) there are three more pitches waiting for you there.

And check out the number of beacons and trackers on the right, in purple. That’s Ghostery, which I run on my browser to see who’s laying down data traps. Man, Merc, that’s a lot o’ data. Are you doing anything with it?

Look, I’ve built my career around ad-supported media, and I continue to believe that advertising (in some shape or form) will support digital publishing. But if there’s one thing you learn early — somewhere around your very first day in the business — advertising does not work if there aren’t consumers on the other end to look at the ads. So if you ad strategy erodes your audience, or merely burns out their eyeballs by way of toxic design, you’ll soon be left without a business at all.

Buying Audience: Like Merchandising to Customers Who Are Already In Your Store

From Andy Ellenthal’s post at Digiday. He’s the CEO of semantic ad tech company Peer39.

“Considering how much attention, from the press and venture capitalists, is paid to audience-based ad buying, you’d think it would inevitably rule the roost — at the expense of old-fashioned content-based buying. You’d be wrong.

“The hype is a natural outcome of the fact that audience data has never had this scale and accessibility before. Buyers can now match their targeting criteria against huge pools if impressions. The concept is super cool: Displaying your message only to the exact group of desired consumers?

“But the reality reminds me of the difference between a retailer’s merchandising and marketing. Merchandising’s job is to sell once a consumer is inside the store, but marketing needs to drive them there in the first place. There will always be more prospective buyers and influencers outside the store, than shoppers with wallet in hand. If you only merchandised, at some point soon the store would be a very quiet and lonely place.”

Keyword Ad Targeting Puts Life Insurance Banner Next to Bin Laden Coverage on CNN

Oops!

Bin Laden on CNN Next to Life Insurance Ad

From Searchblog.

UPDATE: Mark Chu Cheong’s take:

Mark Chu Cheong on Insurance Ad

Making Ad Targeting Less Creepy

Great suggestions by Battelle (Searchblog) on improving online ad targeting — both for those who feel stalked and for the stalkers.

“As I’ve said a million times, marketing is a conversation. And retargeted ads are part of that conversation. I’d like to suggest that retargeted ads acknowledge, with a simple graphic in a consistent place, that they are in fact a retargeted ad, and offer the consumer a chance to tell the advertiser ‘Thanks, but for now I’m not interested.’ Then the ad goes away, and a new one would show up.

Facebook already does something similar, as Battelle points out. So do the story-list ads on Digg (“DiggAds“).

Hide Button on DiggAds

“And when a consumer says ‘no thanks,’ as any good salesperson knows, that’s an opportunity to learn. No rarely means no forever. Marketing is a conversation, one with more than one exchange. Just because the first one isn’t a sale, doesn’t mean the next one (or the one after that) can’t be. Especially if you have the good graces to know when to pull back into the wings for a while.”

Amen.

The Trouble With Ad Networks, Continued

TechCrunch points out that my two most recent posts — Steve Jobs’s medical leave and deceptive ads served by Yahoo’s Right Media — have a connection. At least within the flawed logic of the ad-targeting machines used by ad networks and context targeting engines. The screenshot below, from TechCrunch, shows a Kaplan University ad (“Jobs Become Obsolete. Talent Doesn’t.”) alongside a WashingtonPost.com story on the Steve Jobs situation. An added wrinkle: The Washington Post owns Kaplan.

Wash Post Steve Jobs News with Bad Jobs Ad

Om Malik: Glut of Undifferentiated Online Ad Avails

Om talks to Yahoo about the dearth of premium online CPMs: The web needs more quality content and something that makes the content unique. For example, the GigaOM sites!

Om Malik with Yahoo’s Sarah Lacy

I couldn’t agree more, Om.

Except when you say GigaOM competes with the ad networks. The GigaOM sites — sold individually to brands that want to associate with the premium, exclusive content in the rarefied context that is reading a site like GigaOM or New Tee Vee — live at the top of the media-pricing pyramid. That’s not to say that unsold inventory on those sites can’t be sold as part of a blind ad network like AdSense or Blue Lithium. Publishers such as GigaOM, FM, or ESPN offer one kind of value (building brand value through association with quality), and ad networks offer another kind of value (low-cost clicks that answer a direct-response need). The two can use inventory from the same sites symbiotically, if both entities understand the value they bring to the marketplace.

(Disclosure: The GigaOM sites are part of the FM family so I’m biased when I say you should buy ads on them.)

Wal-Mart Banners on White Supremacist Site

Another one for the contextual mis-targeting file, courtesy of ValleyWag:

Wal-Mart Banners on Racist Blog

From ValleyWag:

“We’ve got a call into Walmart, but our guess is that through ad network LinkShare’s affiliate marking program, hundreds if not thousands of Web site publishers put Walmart banner ads on their sites in hopes of referring shoppers and earning a slice of revenue from whatever they buy on Walmart.com. It would be very difficult to thoroughly vet each publisher. But if there’s ever been a need for a clear example as to why Madison Avenue interactive agencies do not trust their clients to ad networks that claim extensive reach above all else, there is no more.”

AOL Shutters Tacoda, and Other Ad-Network Bad News

Last year AOL paid $275 million to buy Tacoda. Now, according to Venture Beat, AOL is dropping the brand and rolling the technology into Platform A’s Ad.com unit.

“iThis is a shocking move for some, because Ad.com doesn’t target much at all, and offers ads of $1 or less per a thousand views — and is generally considered a ‘bottom-feeder’ by some in the industry.”

Times are tough at ValueClick, too

Content Still More Important Than Demographics

No news here for folks who have participated in the television or print publishing businesses anytime in the past 50 years, but it may be revolutionary news in certain online marketing circles, especially circles in, say, Mountain View. From Ad Age:

“Now, new findings from the Online Publishers Association suggest that content is king: Ads on branded-content websites are more effective than non-branded sites and outpace industry norms in nearly every category.

“[The study] determined that ads on content sites have greater impact on the overall purchase process, including customer awareness, brand awareness, brand consideration, brand preference and purchase intent, especially among the consumer package goods, financial services, technology, telecommunications and travel sectors, giving credence to the idea that audiences are attracted to websites.”

Darren Herman: Media Sales Execs May Survive After All

Media Kitchen’s Darren Herman scared me with his headline Goodbye Media Sales Execs. That’s it, I said, no more inviting Darren join me on stage at the Conversational Marketing Summit!

Then I read his post, and found myself in deep agreement with his take on the future of media sales:

“While ad exchanges currently supply Madison Avenue with inventory such as 300X250, 728X90, and other IAB standard impression units, you cannot purchase integrated/custom campaigns. While what you can do in a banner/button unit can be extremely creative and unique, you are not able to purchase page takeovers, custom content, or any other unique placements.

“I believe Media Sales Exec’s lives are going to become much more efficient. Let agencies and marketers buy standard ad-units through exchanges layering on different targeting data (not just technologies), but when the phone rings to publishers, it’ll be for the custom/highly integrated media opportunities: where the sexy dollars are.”

More on the topic from my colleague Pete Spande.

Here too is an earlier post at ChasNote.

Polar Bear on a Shrinking Iceberg